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Finance

Investment-Grade Credit Is a 70-Basis-Point Real Yield Dressed Up as Safety

Investment-grade credit yields 4.4%, but after 3.3% inflation, you're left with 70 basis points of real return on a $500,000 portfolio. That's $3,500 a year in purchasing power. TIPS pay more than double that in real terms, without the duration gamble.

By Ray Vega · 3 min read

Finance

Kevin Warsh Is Built for the Last Crisis, Not This One

Kevin Warsh called the post-COVID inflation years "fatal policy errors" and proposed a rules-based framework to prevent the next ones. The problem is stagflation does not care about your framework. It punishes rigidity.

By Ray Vega · 3 min read

Finance

The VIX at 25 Is Not Background Noise

The VIX crossed 25 this week, and the standard response is to call it temporary noise tied to Middle East headlines. Institutional traders disagree: they stopped buying the dip and started hedging aggressively before most retail investors checked their portfolios. The window closed quietly.

By Ray Vega · 3 min read