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Sports

Banning College Prop Bets Is Necessary and Nowhere Near Enough

Charlie Baker wants states to ban college player prop bets, and on that narrow question he's right. The problem is that a 54% handle increase doesn't yield to state-by-state lobbying. The integrity framework Baker needs exists at the federal level, and he keeps talking to the wrong room.

By Jax Moreno · 3 min read

Sports

The Bracket Liars and the Single Elimination Truth

Travis Steele couldn't get a return call from power programs two years ago. Now his Miami of Ohio team holds opponents under 41% effective field goal percentage and bracketologists still reach for chalk. The gap is real. The format is not.

By Rook Calloway · 3 min read

Sports

Analytics Cannot Save Your Bracket, and That Is the Point

Analytics models are not failing March Madness—the first round's single-elimination, low-possession format is deliberately amplifying variance beyond any model's reach. The question was never whether upsets happen; it is whether predicting which ones is even the right ask.

By Jax Moreno · 3 min read

Sports

March Madness Is Becoming a Rich Man's Tournament

The 2025 NCAA Tournament produced only the second all-No.-1-seed Final Four in history, and the 2026 odds board is even more lopsided. NIL and the transfer portal built this top-heavy monster. The value isn't in fighting it, it's in finding the one or two teams the market priced wrong inside it.

By Nina Torres · 4 min read