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Sports

First Take Doesn't Divide Fans. It Selects for the Ones Already Divided

Every few weeks, First Take produces a moment so loud that someone writes a column blaming it for dividing sports fandom. The data suggests the causation runs the other way. The show doesn't make fans more extreme; it just finds the ones who already are.

By Jax Moreno · 3 min read

Sports

The Rams' Secondary Overhaul Is Real, and the Odds Aren't Wrong

The Rams gave up the 29th pick for Trent McDuffie, and the analytics community barely flinched. Their 2025 secondary was a measurable disaster. The fix is real. The odds aren't lying to you.

By Jax Moreno · 3 min read

Sports

Referees Have Always Had a Star Rating System

Barcelona paid a refereeing official $7 million over 17 years and called it consulting. Auburn is defending a tournament bid at 16-15 because the name on the building still counts for something. These are not isolated scandals; they are the same mechanism.

By Jax Moreno · 3 min read

Sports

The SGA Unanimous MVP Case Isn't Groupthink, but the Certainty Is

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's 2025-26 season is historically efficient, and the Thunder's win rate with him borders on absurd. The MVP case is airtight. The unanimous case is built on vibes dressed up as certainty, and that distinction matters more than anyone in the media seems willing to admit.

By Jax Moreno · 3 min read

Sports

The 40-Yard Dash Is Moving Draft Capital and Almost Nothing Else

Decades of research show the NFL combine has almost no consistent statistical relationship with on-field success. The forty-yard dash predicts draft position, not production. The market is pricing the wrong thing, and it has been for years.

By Nina Torres · 4 min read